Existence of adaptively stable sunspot equilibria near an indeterminate steady state

نویسندگان

  • George W. Evans
  • Seppo Honkapohja
چکیده

We examine the nonlinear one-step forward-looking model, in which the current state is a function of the (subjective) expected value of a nonlinear function of the state next period. Stationary Markov Sunspot Equilibria (SSEs) are known to exist near an indeterminate steady state, i.e. when the derivative of the function at the steady state is bigger than one in absolute value. We show that there exist Markov SSEs that are E-stable, and therefore locally stable under adaptive learning, if the value of this derivative is less than minus one. JEL Classification: C62, D83, D84, E31, E32.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Stable Sunspot Equilibria in a Cash-in-Advance Economy∗

We analyze a monetary model with flexible labor supply, cash-inadvance constraints, and seigniorageand tax-financed government spending. If the intertemporal elasticity of substitution of labor is greater than one, both determinate and indeterminate steady states exist. If the elasticity is less than one, there is a unique steady state, which can be indeterminate. Only in the latter case do the...

متن کامل

Sunspot Fluctuations: a Way out of a Development Trap?

It is well known that in dynamic general equilibrium economic models equilibrium may be indeterminate. Indeterminacy means that there is a continuum of equilibrium trajectories converging to the same steady state. Very often, the same mechanisms that are responsible for indeterminacy, like increasing returns to scale or market imperfections, lead to existence of multiple steady states, and deve...

متن کامل

Stable near-rational sunspot equilibria

A new class of near-rational sunspot equilibria is identified in economies expressed as non-linear forward-looking models. The new equilibria are natural extensions of the usual sunspot equilibria associated to the linearized version of the economy, and are near-rational in that agents use the optimal linear forecasting model when forming expectations. A generic existence result is established....

متن کامل

Stable Finite-State Markov Sunspots∗

We consider a linear univariate rational expectations model, with a predetermined variable, and study existence and stability of solutions driven by an extraneous finite-state Markov process. We show that when the model is indeterminate there exists a new class of kstate dependent sunspot equilibria in addition to the k-state sunspot equilibria (k-SSEs) already known to exist in part of the ind...

متن کامل

Self-fulfilling Prophecies and the Business Cycle

We demonstrate that multiple stationary rational-expectations equilibria exist in a version of Lucas’s island economy. The existence of these equilibria follows from the fact that there is an indeterminate set of monetary equilibria in the two-period overlappinggenerations model. We show how to construct stationary rational-expectations equilibria by randomizing over the set of nonstationary mo...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • J. Economic Theory

دوره 111  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2003